Validating claims-based definitions for deprescribing: Bridging the gap between clinical and administrative data.

BACKGROUND: Limited research has evaluated the validity of claims-based definitions for deprescribing. OBJECTIVES: Evaluate the validity of claims-based definitions of deprescribing against electronic health records (EHRs) for deprescribing of benzodiazepines (BZDs) after a fall-related hospitalization. METHODS: We used a novel data linkage between Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) and Part D with our health system's EHR. We identified patients aged ≥66 years with a fall-related hospitalization, continuous enrollment in Medicare FFS and Part D for 6 months pre- and post-hospitalization, and ≥2 BZD fills in the 6 months pre-hospitalization. Using a standardized EHR abstraction tool, we adjudicated deprescribing for a sub-sample with a fall-related hospitalization at UNC. We evaluated the validity of claims-based deprescribing definitions (e.g., gaps in supply, dosage reductions) versus chart review using sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: Among 257 patients in the overall sample, 44% were aged 66-74 years, 35% had Medicare low-income subsidy, 79% were female. Among claims-based definitions using gaps in supply, the prevalence of BZD deprescribing ranged from 8.2% (no refills) to 36.6% (30-day gap). When incorporating dosage, the prevalence ranged from 55.3% to 65.8%. Among the validation sub-sample (n = 47), approximately one-third had BZDs deprescribed in the EHR. Compared to EHR, gaps in supply from claims had good sensitivity, but poor specificity. Incorporating dosage increased sensitivity, but worsened specificity. CONCLUSIONS: The sensitivity of claims-based definitions for deprescribing of BZDs was low; however, the specificity of a 90-day gap was >90%. Replication in other EHRs and for other low-value medications is needed to guide future deprescribing research.

Development and Evaluation of a Multisource Approach to Extend Mortality Follow-Up for Older Adults With Advanced Cancer Enrolled in Randomized Trials.

PURPOSE: Mortality data can complement primary end points from cancer clinical trials. Yet, identifying deaths after trial completion is challenging, as timely and comprehensive vital status data are unavailable in the United States. We developed and evaluated a multisource approach to capture death data after clinical trial completion. METHODS: Individuals age 70 years and older with incurable solid tumors or lymphoma and ≥1 aging-related condition were enrolled from October 2014 to March 2019 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02107443 and NCT02054741). Participants provided consent to link trial information to external sources. We developed a stepped approach for extended death capture using (1) active trial follow-up up to 1 year, (2) linkage to the National Death Index (NDI), and (3) obituary searches, thus generating a 5-year survival curve. In a random sample of 50 participants who died during trial follow-up, we estimated sensitivity of death data using NDI and obituary sources and computed survival times by data source. RESULTS: The two trials enrolled 1,169 participants; mean age was 76 years; 46% were female; and gastrointestinal cancer (30%) and lung cancer (26%) were the most common cancer types. Across data sources, maximum follow-up was >7 years; 5-year survival was 18%. In total, there were 841 deaths: 603 identified during trial follow-up; 199 from the NDI; and 39 from obituary searches. The sensitivity for death capture was 92% for the NDI and 94% for the obituary searches compared with the trial data, and computed survival times were similar across data sources. CONCLUSION: Extending clinical trial mortality follow-up through linkage with external data sources was feasible and accurate. Future cancer clinical trials should collect necessary consent and patient identifiers for vital status linkages that can enhance understanding of longer-term outcomes.

Prevalence of Lung Cancer Screening in the US, 2022.

This cross-sectional study compares lung cancer screening prevalence in 2022 among individuals eligible by 2021 vs 2013 criteria by sociodemographics and state.

Performance of a Claims-Based Frailty Proxy Using Varying Frailty Ascertainment Lookback Windows.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is an aging-related syndrome of reduced physiological reserve to maintain homeostasis. The Faurot frailty index has been validated as a Medicare claims-based proxy for predicting frailty using billing information from a user-specified ascertainment window. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the validity of the Faurot frailty index as a predictor of the frailty phenotype and 1-year mortality using varying frailty ascertainment windows. RESEARCH DESIGN: We identified older adults (66+ y) in Round 5 (2015) of the National Health and Aging Trends Study with Medicare claims linkage. Gold standard frailty was assessed using the frailty phenotype. We calculated the Faurot frailty index using 3, 6, 8, and 12 months of claims prior to the survey or all-available lookback. Model performance for each window in predicting the frailty phenotype was assessed by quantifying calibration and discrimination. Predictive performance for 1-year mortality was assessed by estimating risk differences across claims-based frailty strata. RESULTS: Among 4253 older adults, the 6 and 8-month windows had the best frailty phenotype calibration (calibration slopes: 0.88 and 0.87). All-available lookback had the best discrimination (C-statistic=0.780), but poor calibration. Mortality associations were strongest using a 3-month window and monotonically decreased with longer windows. Subgroup analyses revealed worse performance in Black and Hispanic individuals than counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: The optimal ascertainment window for the Faurot frailty index may depend on the clinical context, and researchers should consider tradeoffs between discrimination, calibration, and mortality. Sensitivity analyses using different durations can enhance the robustness of inferences. Research is needed to improve prediction across racial and ethnic groups.

Commercial Versus Medicaid Insurance and Use of High-Priced Anticancer Treatments.

BACKGROUND: Because the markups on cancer drugs vary by payor, providers' financial incentive to use high-price drugs is differential according to each patient's insurance type. We evaluated the association between patient insurer (commercial vs Medicaid) and the use of high-priced cancer treatments. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We linked cancer registry, administrative claims, and demographic data for individuals diagnosed with cancer in North Carolina from 2004 to 2011, with either commercial or Medicaid insurance. We selected cancers with multiple FDA-approved, guideline-recommended chemotherapy options and large price differences between treatment options: advanced colorectal, lung, and head and neck cancer. The outcome was a receipt of a higher-priced option, and the exposure was insurer: commercial versus Medicaid. We estimated risk ratios (RRs) for the association between insurer and higher-priced treatment using log-binomial models with inverse probability of exposure weights. RESULTS: Of 812 patients, 209 (26%) had Medicaid. The unadjusted risk of receiving higher-priced treatment was 36% (215/603) for commercially insured and 27% (57/209) for Medicaid insured (RR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.02-1.67). After adjustment for confounders the association was attenuated (RR: 1.15, 95% CI: 0.81-1.65). Exploratory subgroup analysis suggested that commercial insurance was associated with increased receipt of higher-priced treatment among patients treated by non-NCI-designated providers (RR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.14-2.04). CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with Medicaid and commercial insurance received high-priced treatments in similar proportion, after accounting for differences in case mix. However, modification by provider characteristics suggests that insurance type may influence treatment selection for some patient groups. Further work is needed to determine the relationship between insurance status and newer, high-price drugs such as immune-oncology agents.

Primary Treatment Modification and Treatment Tolerability Among Older Chemotherapy Recipients With Advanced Cancer.

Importance: Older adults with advanced cancer are less likely to tolerate treatment with cytotoxic chemotherapy compared with younger patients due to their aging-related conditions. Hence, oncologists sometimes opt to employ primary treatment modifications (deviation from standard of care) during the first cycle of chemotherapy. Objective: To examine the association between primary treatment modification and treatment tolerability in older adults with advanced cancer who were starting new palliative chemotherapy regimens. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study was a secondary analysis of the GAP70+ (Geriatric Assessment Intervention for Reducing Toxicity in Older Patients with Advanced Cancer) trial, which was conducted between July 2014 and March 2019. The GAP70+ trial included patients aged 70 years or older who had advanced (ie, incurable) cancer, had 1 or more geriatric assessment domain impairments, and planned to start a new palliative chemotherapy regimen. Data analysis was conducted in November 2022. Exposures: Receipt of standard-of-care chemotherapy regimens vs primary treatment modification defined as any change from National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines or published clinical trials (eg, primary dose reduction, schedule change). Main Outcomes and Measures: Tolerability outcomes were assessed within 3 months of treatment. These outcomes included the following: (1) any grade 3 to 5 toxic effect, according to the National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events; (2) patient-reported functional decline, defined as the development of worse dependency in activities of daily living using scale scores; and (3) a composite adverse outcome (an end point that combined toxic effects, functional decline, and 6-month overall survival). Multivariable cluster-weighted generalized estimating equation models examined the association between primary treatment modification and outcomes adjusting for covariates. Results: This study included 609 patients with a mean (SD) age of 77.2 (5.2) years; more than half (333 [54.7%]) were men. Race and ethnicity was available for 607 patients: 39 (6.4%) were Black, 539 (88.5%) were non-Hispanic White, and 29 (4.8%) were of other race or ethnicity. Nearly half (281 [46.1%]) received a primary modified treatment regimen. The most common cancer types were gastrointestinal cancer (228 [37.4%]) and lung cancer (174 [28.6%]). In multivariable analysis, primary treatment modification was associated with a reduced risk of grade 3 to 5 toxic effects (relative risk [RR], 0.85 [95% CI, 0.77-0.94]) and functional decline (RR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.67-0.95]). Patients who received primary treatment modification had 32.0% lower odds of having a worse composite adverse outcome (odds ratio, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.48-0.97]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, primary treatment modification was associated with improved tolerability of chemotherapeutic regimens among older adults with advanced cancer and aging-related conditions. These findings may help optimize cancer treatment dosing in older adults with advanced cancer and aging-related conditions.

Functional Status Associations With Treatment Receipt and Outcomes Among Older Adults Newly Diagnosed With Multiple Myeloma.

PURPOSE: Multiple myeloma (MM) is a prevalent hematologic malignancy in older adults, who often experience physical disability, increased health care usage, and reduced treatment tolerance. Home health (HH) services are frequently used by this group, but the relationship between disability, HH use, and MM treatment receipt is unclear. This study examines the connections between disability, treatment receipt, and survival outcomes in older adults with newly diagnosed MM using a nationwide data set. METHODS: The SEER-Medicare data set was used to identify adults aged 66 years and older diagnosed with MM from 2010 to 2017, who used HH services the year before diagnosis. Disability was assessed with the Outcome and Assessment Information Set, using a composite score derived from items related to ability to complete activities of daily living. Mortality, therapy receipt, and health care utilization patterns were evaluated. RESULTS: Of 37,280 older adults with MM, 6,850 (18.2%) used HH services before diagnosis. Moderate disability at HH assessment resulted in similar MM-directed therapy receipt as mild disability, with comparable health care usage after diagnosis to severe disability. HH users had a higher comorbidity burden and higher mortality (adjusted risk ratio for 3-year mortality: 1.59 [95% CI, 1.55 to 1.64]). Severe functional disability before diagnosis was strongly related to postdiagnosis mortality. CONCLUSION: Among older adults with MM receiving HH services, disability is a predictor of early mortality. Moderately disabled individuals undergo similar therapy intensity as the mildly disabled but experience increased acute care utilization. Previous HH use could identify patients with MM requiring intensive support during therapy initiation.

Quantifying Chemotherapy Delivery in Older and Younger Women With Early-Stage Breast Cancer Using Longitudinal Cumulative Dose.

BACKGROUND: Delivery of cancer treatments, such as chemotherapy, requires a complex set of decisions that can change over time. Traditional measures of chemotherapy delivery, such as relative dose intensity, measure the amount of chemotherapy received by the end of treatment but mask the timing of dose reductions, delays, and discontinuation. These events may be important for delivering timely interventions to support adherence and lower the risk of recurrence. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used an institutional database to identify women diagnosed with stage I-III breast cancer receiving adjuvant chemotherapy with a standard 4-cycle regimen of docetaxel + cyclophosphamide (TC, every 21 days) from April 2014 to December 2019. LCD was calculated as the amount of a given chemotherapy agent delivered at a specified time, t, divided by the total planned standard chemotherapy dose at time t. We visualized LCD curves for each chemotherapy agent and reported the median LCD and interquartile range (IQR) at the end of the regimen, overall and by age group (<65 years vs. 65+ years). RESULTS: The study population included 80 women. At the end of treatment, overall median LCDs for both cyclophosphamide and docetaxel were 100% (IQR: 99.6%, 100%), suggesting that TC was well tolerated. However, the lower quartile LCD for cyclophosphamide was 98.7% in older women treated with TC compared with 99.7% in younger women. CONCLUSION: Within our cohort, adjuvant TC was well tolerated with LCD curves showing largely on-time and full-dose administration. Subgroup analyses showed only slight decreases in adjuvant TC LCD for patients aged 65+ versus <65 years.

Adherence to prescription proton pump inhibitor therapy amongst individuals diagnosed with Barrett's esophagus.

INTRODUCTION: In the United States, clinical guidelines recommend daily use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) amongst individuals diagnosed with Barrett's esophagus to decrease the risk of progression to dysplasia and neoplasia. Prior studies documenting adherence to PPIs in this population have not characterized heterogeneity in adherence patterns. Factors that may relate to adherence are incompletely described. METHODS: We used administrative claims data from the Merative MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database to conduct a retrospective study of adherence to prescription PPIs. A cohort of individuals diagnosed with incident Barrett's esophagus between 2010 and 2019 was identified. Group-based trajectory models were generated to detect longitudinal adherence subgroups. RESULTS: 79 701 individuals with a new diagnosis of Barrett's esophagus were identified. The best fitting model detected five distinct adherence trajectory groups: consistently high (44% of the population), moderate decline (18%), slow decline (12%), rapid decline (10%), and decline-then-increase (16%). Compared to individuals starting PPIs, those already using PPIs were less likely to have a declining adherence pattern. Other factors associated with membership in a declining adherence group included (but were not limited to): female sex, having a past diagnosis of anxiety or depression, and having one or more emergency department visits in the past year. DISCUSSION: Using an exploratory method, we detected heterogeneity in adherence to prescription PPIs. Less than half of individuals were classified into the consistently high adherence group, suggesting that many individuals with Barrett's esophagus receive inadequate pharmacologic therapy.

Effect of surgery versus chemotherapy in pancreatic cancer patients: a target trial emulation.

PURPOSE: To estimate the causal effect of surgery vs chemotherapy on survival in patients with T1-3NxM0 pancreatic cancer in a rigorous framework addressing selection bias and immortal time bias. METHODS: We used population-based Danish healthcare registries to conduct a cohort study emulating a hypothetical randomized trial to estimate the absolute difference in survival, comparing surgery with chemotherapy. We included pancreatic cancer patients diagnosed during 2008-2021. Exposure was surgery or chemotherapy initiated within a 16-week grace period after diagnosis. At the time of diagnosis, data of each patient was duplicated; one copy was assigned to the surgery protocol and one copy to the chemotherapy protocol of the hypothetical trial. Copies were censored when the assigned treatment deviated from the observed treatment. To account for informative censoring, uncensored patients were weighted according to confounders. For comparison, we also applied a more conventional analysis using propensity score-based inverse probability weighting. RESULTS: We included 1,744 patients with a median age of 68 years; 73.6% underwent surgery and 18.6% had chemotherapy without surgery. 7.8% received no treatment. The 3-year survival was 39.7% (95% CI 36.7% to 42.6%) after surgery and 22.7% (95% CI: 17.7% to 28.4%) after chemotherapy, corresponding to an absolute difference of 17.0% (95% CI: 10.8% to 23.1%). In the conventional survival analysis, this difference was 23.0% (95% CI: 17.0% to 29.0%). CONCLUSION: Surgery was superior to chemotherapy in achieving long-term survival for pancreatic cancer. The difference comparing surgery and chemotherapy was substantially smaller when using the clone-censor-weight approach than conventional survival analysis.

Visualizing External Validity: Graphical Displays to Inform the Extension of Treatment Effects from Trials to Clinical Practice.

BACKGROUND: In the presence of effect measure modification, estimates of treatment effects from randomized controlled trials may not be valid in clinical practice settings. The development and application of quantitative approaches for extending treatment effects from trials to clinical practice settings is an active area of research. METHODS: In this article, we provide researchers with a practical roadmap and four visualizations to assist in variable selection for models to extend treatment effects observed in trials to clinical practice settings and to assess model specification and performance. We apply this roadmap and visualizations to an example extending the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy (5-fluorouracil vs. plus oxaliplatin) for colon cancer from a trial population to a population of individuals treated in community oncology practices in the United States. RESULTS: The first visualization screens for potential effect measure modifiers to include in models extending trial treatment effects to clinical practice populations. The second visualization displays a measure of covariate overlap between the clinical practice populations and the trial population. The third and fourth visualizations highlight considerations for model specification and influential observations. The conceptual roadmap describes how the output from the visualizations helps interrogate the assumptions required to extend treatment effects from trials to target populations. CONCLUSIONS: The roadmap and visualizations can inform practical decisions required for quantitatively extending treatment effects from trials to clinical practice settings.

Patterns of chemotherapy receipt among patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer chemotherapy utilization not only may differ by race and age, but also varies by genomic risk, tumor characteristics, and patient characteristics. Studies in demographically diverse populations with both clinical and genomic data are necessary to understand potential disparities by race and age. METHODS: In the Carolina Breast Cancer Study Phase 3 (2008-2013), chemotherapy receipt (yes/no) and regimen type were assessed in association with age and race among hormone receptor (HR) positive and HER2-negative tumors (n = 1862). Odds ratios were estimated for the association between demographic factors and chemotherapy receipt. RESULTS: Monotonic decreases in frequency of adjuvant chemotherapy receipt were observed over time during the study period, while neoadjuvant chemotherapy was stable. Younger age was associated with chemotherapy receipt (OR [95% CI]: 2.9 [2.4, 3.6]) and with anthracycline-based regimens (OR [95% CI]: 1.7 [1.3, 2.4]). Participants who had Medicaid (OR [95% CI]: 1.8 [1.3, 2.5]), lived in rural settings (OR [95% CI]: 1.4 [1.0, 2.0]), or were Black (OR [95% CI]: 1.5 [1.2, 1.8]) had slightly higher odds of chemotherapy, but these associations were non-significant with adjustment for stage and grade. Associations between younger age and chemotherapy receipt were strongest among women who did not receive genomic testing. CONCLUSIONS: While race was not strongly associated with chemotherapy receipt, younger age remains a strong predictor of chemotherapy receipt, even with adjustment for clinical factors and among women who receive genomic testing.

The association between wealth and sleep medication use in a nationally-representative sample of older Medicare beneficiaries.

BACKGROUND: Sleep disorders are common among older adults, leading to high prevalence of over-the-counter and prescription sleep medication use. Socioeconomically disadvantaged individuals have higher prevalence of sleep disorders. Frequent use of sleep medications can increase the risk of falls. Little is known about the association between wealth and sleep medication use in older adults. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis using a nationwide sample of 7603 Medicare beneficiaries (65+ years) from Round 1 (2011) of the National Health and Aging Trends Study. We measured self-reported wealth as the sum of assets (retirement savings, stocks/bonds, checking/savings accounts, business assets, and home value) minus liabilities (mortgage, credit card, and medical debt). Self-reported sleep medication use in the past month was categorized as frequent (5-7 nights/week), sometimes (1-4 nights/week), or never (0 night/week). We estimated differences in the prevalence of sleep medication use by quintiles of wealth using crude and adjusted binomial regression models. Individuals missing sleep medication information were excluded. RESULTS: Median wealth was $152 582 (IQR: $24 023-412 992). Sixteen percent reported frequent sleep medication use, 15% reported some use, and 70% reported no use. Frequent sleep medication use was more common in lower wealth quintiles (lowest: 20%, highest: 12%). Alternatively, some use was more common in higher wealth quintiles (lowest: 11%, highest: 18%). Results were similar after adjustment for demographic factors, anxiety, depression, and sleep disorders. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, less wealthy older adults had higher prevalence of frequent sleep medication use. This may lead to dependency or increased fall risk in this vulnerable population.

Geriatric Assessment Impairment Profiles and Mortality in Older Adults with Gastrointestinal Cancers: Latent Class Analysis of the CARE Registry.

BACKGROUND: Many older adults with cancer have ≥2 impairments on geriatric assessment which impacts present and future frailty status, treatment tolerability, and outcomes. Our objective was to identify and describe distinct geriatric assessment impairment classes using latent class analysis (LCA) in older patients with gastrointestinal malignancies and assess 1-year mortality. METHODS: We used the Cancer & Aging Resilience Evaluation (CARE) Study, a registry of older adults (≥60 years) at University of Alabama at Birmingham. The analytic cohort included patients with gastrointestinal malignancies who completed a self-administered geriatric assessment (CARE tool) before chemotherapy and had ≥1 geriatric assessment impairment. Thirteen geriatric assessment impairments were used as indicators in LCA. Resultant classes were described, mortality was estimated, and risk contrasts (differences, hazard ratios) were calculated with 95% confidence intervals. For comparison, estimates were provided for frailty categories (robust, pre-frail, frail) determined from 44 items in the CARE tool. Stratified analyses included high-risk (pancreatic, hepatobiliary, esophageal) vs. low-risk gastrointestinal cancers, and stage (IV vs. I-III). RESULTS: Six geriatric assessment impairment classes were identified: Mild impairment (LC1); Social support impairment (LC2); Weight loss alone (LC3); Impaired, low anxiety/depression (LC4); Impaired with anxiety/depression (LC5); Global impairment (LC6). One-year mortality was 14%, 22%, 29%, 34%, 50% and 50% for LC1-LC6, respectively. For frailty categories, estimates ranged from 18% (robust) to 40% (frail). In stratified analyses, LC4-LC6 consistently had higher mortality estimates compared to LC1. CONCLUSIONS: The 6 geriatric assessment impairment classes showed a wider spread of mortality estimates compared to frailty categories and could be used to identify vulnerable patients and to plan interventions.

Deprescribing bisphosphonates for older adults with dementia: perspectives of caregivers.

Little is known about caregivers' perspectives on deprescribing bisphosphonates for older adults with dementia. Caregivers agreed that fracture prevention was important for maintaining functional independence but acknowledged that changing goals of care may justify deprescribing. Conversations grounded in "what matters most" can align fracture prevention treatment with goals of care. PURPOSE: The long-term fracture prevention benefits of bisphosphonates may begin to be overshadowed by the potential burden of adverse effects and polypharmacy for older adults living with dementia as the disease progresses. We characterized factors that influence caregiver decision-making for continuing versus deprescribing bisphosphonates for persons living with dementia. METHODS: We conducted 11 interviews with family or informal caregivers of older adults living with dementia in the community or in long-term care who had been treated with bisphosphonates. Interviews focused on experiences caring for someone who has experienced a fracture, perceived benefits and harms of bisphosphonates, and experiences with deprescribing. Analyses were conducted using a qualitative framework methodology guided by the Health Belief Model. RESULTS: Most caregivers were male (n = 8), younger than 65 (n = 8) and were an adult child caregiver (n = 8). Three caregivers were Black and five were Latino/a. Attempts to maintain functional independence despite high likelihood of falls was frequently discussed as contributing to fracture risk, in this population. Many caregivers perceived fracture prevention treatment as important, while several noted that it may become less important near the end of life. Perceived benefits of fracture prevention treatment for persons with dementia included improved quality of life and maintaining independence. Although most indicated that bisphosphonates were well tolerated, gastrointestinal adverse effects, preference for fewer treatments, and dementia-related behaviors that interfere with medication administration may be reasons for deprescribing. CONCLUSION: Conversations grounded in caregiver experiences and "what matters most" may help optimize fracture prevention treatment for older adults with dementia.

Prognosis of older adults with chronic lymphocytic leukemia: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: While prognosis for patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) has improved over time in younger adults, only modest improvements have occurred in older adults. We conducted a descriptive study of prognosis in older adults with CLL. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database from 2003 to 2016. We identified older adults (≥66 years) diagnosed with primary CLL between 2004 and 2015 (Overall Cohort). A subset who initiated CLL-directed therapy during the year following diagnosis was also identified (Treated Cohort). Both cohorts were matched to Medicare beneficiaries without cancer based on age, sex, and region. For each year from 2004 to 2013, three-year survival for patients with CLL and non-cancer comparators was described using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Inverse probability weighted Cox regression models were used to compare survival in the CLL and non-cancer comparator cohorts, accounting for demographic information and comorbidity and frailty indices. Among older adults with CLL, ten-year cause-specific cumulative mortality was estimated using Aalen-Johansen estimators that accounted for competing risks. Predictors of cause-specific mortality, including comorbidity and frailty burden, were assessed using sub-distribution hazards models. RESULTS: In the Overall Cohort, three-year survival increased non-monotonically from 71.4% in 2004 to 73.4% in 2013, with a peak of 74.4% in 2011, and was lower than survival in non-cancer comparators (78.3% in 2004 to 83.2% in 2013). In the Treated Cohort, three-year survival was 56.3% in 2004 and 56.5% in 2013, with a peak of 64.2% in 2011. Cox models suggested that survival in the Treated Cohort was approaching survival in non-cancer comparators after 2011 (hazard ratio = 1.04, 95% confidence interval, 0.93-1.17). Ten-year cumulative mortality was 68.6% in the Overall Cohort and 81.7% in the Treated Cohort, with most deaths attributed to non-CLL causes. In the sub-distribution hazards models, age, year of diagnosis, frailty, and comorbidities were all associated with prognosis. DISCUSSION: Prognosis in older adults has been stable over time and most patients with CLL die from non-CLL causes. CLL-directed treatment decision-making in older adults should consider age-related factors, such as comorbidity and frailty.

Translation of a Claims-Based Frailty Index From the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification to the Tenth Revision.

The Faurot frailty index (FFI) is a validated algorithm that uses enrollment and International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM)-based billing information from Medicare claims data as a proxy for frailty. In October 2015, the US health-care system transitioned from the ICD-9-CM to the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM). Applying the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services General Equivalence Mappings, we translated diagnosis-based frailty indicator codes from the ICD-9-CM to the ICD-10-CM, followed by manual review. We used interrupted time-series analysis of Medicare data to assess the comparability of the pre- and posttransition FFI scores. In cohorts of beneficiaries enrolled in January 2015-2017 with 8-month frailty look-back periods, we estimated associations between the FFI and 1-year risk of aging-related outcomes (mortality, hospitalization, and admission to a skilled nursing facility). Updated indicators had similar prevalences as pretransition definitions. The median FFI scores and interquartile ranges (IQRs) for the predicted probability of frailty were similar before and after the International Classification of Diseases transition (pretransition: median, 0.034 (IQR, 0.02-0.07); posttransition: median, 0.038 (IQR, 0.02-0.09)). The updated FFI was associated with increased risks of mortality, hospitalization, and skilled nursing facility admission, similar to findings from the ICD-9-CM era. Studies of medical interventions in older adults using administrative claims should use validated indices, like the FFI, to mitigate confounding or assess effect-measure modification by frailty.

Prescriber Perspectives and Experiences with Deprescribing Versus Continuing Bisphosphonates in Older Nursing Home Residents with Dementia.

BACKGROUND: Few guidelines address fracture prevention medication use in nursing home (NH) residents with dementia. OBJECTIVE: We sought to identify factors that influence prescriber decision-making for deprescribing of bisphosphonates for older NH residents with dementia. METHODS: We conducted 12 semi-structured interviews with prescribers who care for older adults with dementia in NHs. MAIN MEASURES: Interview prompts addressed experiences treating fractures, benefits, and harms of bisphosphonates, and experiences with deprescribing. Coding was guided by the social-ecological framework including patient-level (intrapersonal) and external (interpersonal, system, community, and policy) influences. RESULTS: Most prescribers were physicians (83%); 75% were female and 75% were White. Most (75%) spent less than half of their clinical effort in NHs and half were in the first decade of practice. Among patient-level influences, prescribers uniformly agreed that a prior bisphosphonate treatment course of several years, emergence of adverse effects, and changing goals of care or limited life expectancy were compelling reasons to deprescribe. External influences were frequently discussed as barriers to deprescribing. At the interpersonal level, prescribers noted that family/informal caregivers are diverse in their involvement in decision-making, and frequently concerned about the adverse effects of bisphosphonates, but perceive deprescribing as "withdrawing care." At the health system level, prescribers felt that frequent transitions make it difficult to determine duration of prior treatment and to implement deprescribing. At the policy level, prescribers highlighted the lack of guidelines addressing residents with limited mobility and dementia or criteria for deprescribing, including uncertainty in the setting of prior fractures and lack of bone densitometry in NHs. CONCLUSION: Systems-level barriers to evaluating bone densitometry and treatment history in NHs may impede person-centered decision-making for fracture prevention. Further research is needed to evaluate the residual benefits of bisphosphonates in medically complex residents with limited mobility and dementia to inform recommendations for deprescribing versus continued use.

Gastrointestinal outcomes among older women with endometrial cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Treatment for endometrial cancer may contribute to bowel dysfunction and other gastrointestinal outcomes. We investigated the risk of several gastrointestinal diagnoses among older women with endometrial cancer and matched women without a history of cancer. METHODS: Women aged 66 years and older diagnosed with endometrial cancer during 2004-2017 (N = 44,386) and matched women without a known cancer history (N = 221,219) were identified in the SEER-Medicare linked data. An index date was defined as the endometrial cancer diagnosis date in that matched set. ICD-9 and -10 diagnosis codes were used to define gastrointestinal outcomes, including constipation, abdominal pain, IBS, fecal incontinence, bowel obstruction, ileus, radiation enteritis or proctitis, colonic stricture, and vascular insufficiency of the bowel in the Medicare claims. Hazard ratios (HRs) for incident gastrointestinal diagnoses were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: Compared to women without cancer, women with endometrial cancer had an increased risk of gastrointestinal symptoms after the index date, including constipation (HR = 2.27; 95% CI: 2.22-2.32), abdominal pain (HR = 2.94; 95% CI: 2.89-2.99), and fecal incontinence (HR = 1.96; 95% CI: 1.83-2.10). The risk of other gastrointestinal diagnoses was also higher among women with endometrial cancer (e.g., bowel obstruction: HR = 5.72; 95% CI: 5.47-5.98; ileus: HR = 7.22; 95% CI: 6.89-7.57). These associations were also apparent in sensitivity analyses limited to 1+ and 5+ years after the index date. CONCLUSIONS: Older women with endometrial cancer experience an excess risk of gastrointestinal diagnoses that may persist long after cancer diagnosis. Surveillance for these conditions may be a critical part of survivorship care.

Missing data approaches in longitudinal studies of aging: A case example using the National Health and Aging Trends Study.

PURPOSE: Missing data is a key methodological consideration in longitudinal studies of aging. We described missing data challenges and potential methodological solutions using a case example describing five-year frailty state transitions in a cohort of older adults. METHODS: We used longitudinal data from the National Health and Aging Trends Study, a nationally-representative cohort of Medicare beneficiaries. We assessed the five components of the Fried frailty phenotype and classified frailty based on their number of components (robust: 0, prefrail: 1-2, frail: 3-5). One-, two-, and five-year frailty state transitions were defined as movements between frailty states or death. Missing frailty components were imputed using hot deck imputation. Inverse probability weights were used to account for potentially informative loss-to-follow-up. We conducted scenario analyses to test a range of assumptions related to missing data. RESULTS: Missing data were common for frailty components measured using physical assessments (walking speed, grip strength). At five years, 36% of individuals were lost-to-follow-up, differentially with respect to baseline frailty status. Assumptions for missing data mechanisms impacted inference regarding individuals improving or worsening in frailty. CONCLUSIONS: Missing data and loss-to-follow-up are common in longitudinal studies of aging. Robust epidemiologic methods can improve the rigor and interpretability of aging-related research.